TCEC Season 10, Superfinal, Game 66 speculation simulation

Output from BayesElo program

Rank	Player name	Points	EPoints	StdDev	ERank
1	Komodo 1937.00/1959.00/1970.00	2.0	2.00	0.00	1.00
2	Houdini 6.02/6.03	2.0	2.00	0.00	2.00

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos	Name		1.	2.
1.	Houdini 6.03		81.214%	18.786%
2.	Komodo 1970.00		18.786%	81.214%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 - Komodo 1970.00 1-0

Pos	Name		1.	2.
1.	Houdini 6.03		86.222%	13.778%
2.	Komodo 1970.00		13.778%	86.222%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 - Komodo 1970.00 1/2-1/2

Pos	Name		1.	2.
1.	Houdini 6.03		80.860%	19.140%
2.	Komodo 1970.00		19.140%	80.860%

Speculate Houdini 6.03 - Komodo 1970.00 0-1

Pos	Name		1.	2.
1.	Houdini 6.03		74.944%	25.056%
2.	Komodo 1970.00		25.056%	74.944%

Expected start time based on estimate of 4.08h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC	No	White	Black
2017-12-02 00:14	67	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-02 04:18	68	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-02 08:23	69	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-02 12:28	70	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-02 16:32	71	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-02 20:37	72	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-03 00:41	73	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-03 04:46	74	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-03 08:51	75	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-03 12:55	76	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-03 17:00	77	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-03 21:05	78	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-04 01:09	79	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-04 05:14	80	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-04 09:18	81	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-04 13:23	82	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-04 17:28	83	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-04 21:32	84	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-05 01:37	85	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-05 05:42	86	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-05 09:46	87	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-05 13:51	88	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-05 17:55	89	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-05 22:00	90	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-06 02:05	91	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-06 06:09	92	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-06 10:14	93	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-06 14:19	94	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-06 18:23	95	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-06 22:28	96	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-07 02:32	97	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-07 06:37	98	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00
2017-12-07 10:42	99	Komodo 1970.00	Houdini 6.03
2017-12-07 14:46	100	Houdini 6.03	Komodo 1970.00