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Showing posts from August, 2018

TCEC Season 13, Division 1, Game 87 speculation simulation

For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post Output from BayesElo program Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 Ethereal 10.81/10.85 15.5 19.16 1.03 1.09 91 9 0 0 0 0 0 2 Chiron S13 13.0 17.00 1.22 2.03 9 81 10 1 0 0 0 3 Fizbo 2 12.0 14.96 1.05 3.08 0 10 75 11 3 1 0 4 Fritz 16.10 9.5 12.78 1.14 5.20 0 0 7 31 24 18 13 5 Jonny 8.1 9.5 12.42 1.04 5.65 0 0 3 21 24 22 18 6 Laser 180818 9.0 12.20 1.20 5.94 0 0 3 17 20 21 21 7 ChessBrainVB 3.70 9.0 11.93 1.07 6.29 0 0 1 11 18 22 25 8 Booot 6.3.1 8.5 11.54 1.20 6.73 0 0 1 8 12 16 23 Situation before game, simulation about most common position 100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8. 1. Ethereal 10.85 86.517% 13.293% 99.810% 0.190% 2. Chiro

TCEC Season 13, Division 1, Game 86: Jonny 8.1-Ethereal 10.85

Currently playing: 87. Fritz 16.10-Chiron S13 Previous game 86. Jonny 8.1-Ethereal 10.85 1/2-1/2 added to BayesElo lists, result table: Seed: 1535784228425628 Pos Engine Rating Points Games -Crash Direct encounter Wins Black wins SB Coin 1. Ethereal 10.85 3349±62 15.5 22 0 0.0 10 5 153.50 0.53 2. Chiron S13 3323±114 13.0 21 0 0.0 8 5 132.50 0.69 3. Fizbo 2 3267±38 12.0 22 0 0.0 3 0 121.50 0.04 4. Fritz 16.10 3244±59 9.5 21 0 2.0 4 1 97.50 0.96 5. Jonny 8.1 3249±32 9.5 22 0 1.0 3 0 96.25 0.61 6. ChessBrainVB 3.70 3263±73 9.0 22 0 1.5 4 0 91.25 0.46 7. Laser 180818 3237±107 9.0 21 0 1.5 2 0 95.75 0.83 8. Booot 6.3.1 3230±104 8.5 21 -2 0.0 0 0 95.75 0.90 Gull 3 is used as offset at 3217. Difference for some values in parenthesis if any. Created using Bayesian-Elo and some local scripts. Search for 'version' for individual rating for each version. Search for 'One rating' for one rating for each progam (n