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TCEC Season 12, Division P, Game 19 speculation simulation

Output from BayesElo program Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 Komodo 12 4.0 38.54 6.60 1.97 55 20 11 7 4 2 1 2 Houdini 6.03 2.5 32.19 3.78 3.19 6 24 32 24 11 3 0 3 Stockfish 160518 2.5 31.86 7.22 3.46 17 21 16 15 13 9 5 4 Andscacs 0.93070 2.5 29.90 6.68 3.95 10 16 17 18 16 12 7 5 Fire 7 2.5 28.50 7.21 4.32 9 13 14 16 18 14 9 6 Ginkgo 2.012/2.014 2.0 23.21 4.38 5.84 0 1 3 10 22 32 24 7 Chiron 040318 1.5 22.06 7.57 5.96 2 5 6 9 13 17 19 8 Jonny 8.1 0.5 17.74 3.51 7.30 0 0 0 1 3 12 34 Situation before game, simulation about most common position 100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 1. Komodo 12 54.665% 19.901% 10.723% 6.937% 4.330% 2.165% 0.966% 0.313% 2. Stockfish 160518 17.415% 21.221% 16.200% 15.152% 12.896% 8.791% 5.340% 2.985% 3. Andscacs 0.93070 9.809% 16.326% 1...

TCEC Season 12, Division P, Game 18: Ginkgo 2.014-Komodo 12

Currently playing: 19. Chiron 040318-Stockfish 160518 Previous game 18. Ginkgo 2.014-Komodo 12 0-1 added to BayesElo lists, result table: Seed: 1527274361883647 Pos Engine Rating Points Games -Crash SB Blacks Wins Black wins Coin 1. Komodo 12 3472±225 4.0 5 0 7.50 0 0 0 0.32 2. Houdini 6.03 3417±37 2.5 4 0 5.75 0 0 0 0.77 3. Stockfish 160518 3407±212 2.5 4 0 4.75 0 0 0 0.34 4. Andscacs 0.93070 3385±194 2.5 5 0 4.25 0 0 0 0.51 5. Fire 7 3370±210 2.5 4 0 4.25 0 0 0 0.28 6. Ginkgo 2.014 3308±90 2.0 5 0 4.00 0 0 0 0.41 7. Chiron 040318 3289±239 1.5 4 -2 1.75 0 0 0 0.39 8. Jonny 8.1 3248±36 0.5 5 0 1.25 0 0 0 0.20 Gull 3 is used as offset at 3217. Difference for some values in parenthesis if any. Created using Bayesian-Elo and some local scripts. Search for 'version' for individual rating for each version. Search for 'One rating' for one rating for each progam (n...